Why Nobody Believes the Numbers : Distinguishing Fact from Fiction in Population Health Management
Possibly the funniest serious healthcare industry book ever. Includes 12 case studies of vendors, carriers, and consultants who were apparently playing hooky the day their teacher covered fifth-grade math, as told by an author whose argument style can be so persuasive that he was once able to convince a resort to sell him a timeshare. The lesson of Why Nobody Believes the Numbers: no need to hire fancy consultants or to believe what your vendor tells you -- instead you can estimate your own savings using "ingredients you already have in your kitchen." Don't be intimidated just because you lack a PhD in biostatistics, or even a Masters, Bachelor's, high-school equivalency diploma or up-to-date inspection sticker. Qualifications aren't everything. After all, Elvis didn't have a PhD in musicology and Paul McCartney can't read music.
There are serious lessons too. Why Nobody Believes the Numbers helps you interpret the numbers you get shown, and explains how to tell if they are real...and why they usually aren't. You'll learn how to:
* Figure out whether you are "moving the needle" or just crediting a program with changes that would have happened anyway
* Determine whether the ROIs your vendors report are plausible or even arithmetically possible
* Synthesize all these insights into RFPs and contracts that let vendors know that you weren't born yesterday
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June 01, 2012
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